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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Inter logo

Parma
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gervinho (15')
Dermaku (30'), Kucka (49'), R. (86'), Kurtic (89')
Kucka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Vrij (84'), Bastoni (87')
Martinez (27'), Gagliardini (49'), Godin (71'), Moses (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawInter Milan
20.8%22.26%56.94%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52%43.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12%65.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19%34.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45%71.55%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94%15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44%43.57%
Score Analysis
    Parma 20.8%
    Inter Milan 56.94%
    Draw 22.26%
ParmaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.4%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-3 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.94%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
Feb 9, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
0-1
Inter Milan

Gagliolo (61'), Biabiany (89')
Martinez (79')
Vecino (37'), Nainggolan (85')
Sep 15, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
0-1
Parma

Brozovic (31'), D'Ambrosio (67')
Dimarco (79')
Stulac (24'), Dimarco (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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