Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.