Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
33.42% | 26.05% | 40.52% |
Both teams to score 53.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% | 50.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% | 28.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% | 64.64% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% | 59.25% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |