Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
32.53% | 27.23% | 40.24% |
Both teams to score 49.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.27% | 55.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% | 76.87% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% | 31.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% | 68.31% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% | 27.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% | 62.54% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |