Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
18.95% | 20.23% | 60.81% |
Both teams to score 59.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% | 36.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% | 58.96% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% | 11.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% | 36.88% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.13% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.19% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 7.03% 0-3 @ 6.3% 2-3 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 3.38% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.43% Total : 60.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |