Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Cremonese |
48.88% ( -0.41) | 24.31% ( 0) | 26.81% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.29) | 46.42% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.3% ( 0.27) | 68.7% ( -0.27) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% ( -0.05) | 19.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.35% ( -0.09) | 50.65% ( 0.09) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( 0.47) | 31.21% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% ( 0.55) | 67.55% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |