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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Cremonese

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Lauriente (26'), Frattesi (41'), Bajrami (90+2')
Zortea (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dessers (62', 83')
Afena-Gyan (44'), Vasquez (87'), Benassi (90+7'), Pickel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Cremonese

Having finally ended their drought, Cremonese will now be seeking a first away victory of their league campaign - however, despite recent improvements, they have conceded at a rate of nearly two goals per game on the road. Sassuolo are also looking a lot more like their old selves, so can be expected to post a fourth win in six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCremonese
48.88% (-0.413 -0.41) 24.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.81% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.291 0.29)46.42% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.273 0.27)68.7% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)19.06% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.47300000000001 0.47)31.21% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.546 0.55)67.55% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 48.88%
    Cremonese 26.81%
    Draw 24.31%
SassuoloDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Cremonese

Sassuolo
79.5%
Draw
11.5%
Cremonese
9.0%
122
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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