Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
39.83% | 22.8% | 37.37% |
Both teams to score 66.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.19% | 56.81% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.9% | 49.1% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% | 19.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.95% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.47% Total : 37.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |