Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Sassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 44.21% | 23.92% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 60.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% | 41.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% | 64.11% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% | 19.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.26% | 50.74% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% | 25.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.86% | 60.14% |
| Score Analysis |
Sassuolo 44.21%
Fiorentina 31.88%
Draw 23.92%
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.88% |
How you voted: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
Sassuolo
47.8%Draw
41.3%Fiorentina
10.9%46
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Fiorentina
1-1
Sassuolo
Jul 1, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 29
Fiorentina
1-3
Sassuolo
Oct 30, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sassuolo
1-2
Fiorentina
Apr 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 34
Fiorentina
0-1
Sassuolo
Form Guide
