Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL2 - 2AC Milan
Valoti (13'), Floccari (30')
Valdifiori (45'), Letica (58'), Cionek (79'), Dabo (85')
D'Alessandro (43'), Cionek (84')
Valdifiori (45'), Letica (58'), Cionek (79'), Dabo (85')
D'Alessandro (43'), Cionek (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | AC Milan |
| 23.96% | 23.89% | 52.14% |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% | 46.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% | 69.24% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% | 18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.13% | 48.87% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 23.96%
AC Milan 52.14%
Draw 23.88%
| SPAL | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.96% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.12% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.14% |
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2020 5pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
3-0
SPAL
Oct 31, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
AC Milan
1-0
SPAL
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
Dec 29, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
AC Milan
2-1
SPAL
Feb 10, 2018 2pm
