Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 6Roma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Roma |
| 17.22% | 20.41% | 62.37% |
| Both teams to score 55.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% | 40.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% | 62.97% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.28% | 73.72% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% | 12.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.57% | 38.42% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 17.22%
Roma 62.37%
Draw 20.41%
| SPAL | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 4.76% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.22% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.41% | 0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.79% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.61% Total : 62.37% |
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Oct 20, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-2
SPAL
Apr 21, 2018 2pm
Dec 1, 2017 5.30pm
