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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Roma logo

SPAL
1 - 6
Roma

Cerri (24')
Espeto (77')
Cionek (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kalinic (10'), Perez (38'), Kolarov (47'), Peres (52', 75'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between SPAL and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawRoma
17.22%20.41%62.37%
Both teams to score 55.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41%40.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.02%62.97%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53%12.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57%38.42%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 17.22%
    Roma 62.37%
    Draw 20.41%
SPALDrawRoma
2-1 @ 4.76%
1-0 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.22%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.41%
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-4 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.44%
2-4 @ 1.79%
0-5 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 62.37%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Tomovic (53' og.), Perotti (66' pen.), Mkhitaryan (83')
Cetin (54')
Petagna (44' pen.)
Felipe (50'), Vicari (66'), Jankovic (92')
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 28
SPAL
2-1
Roma
Fares (22'), Petagna (60' pen.)
Vicari (5'), Cionek (52'), Fares (54'), Missiroli (64')
Perotti (53' pen.)
N'Zonzi (40'), Dzeko (45'), Jesus (57'), Perotti (63'), Cristante (69')
Oct 20, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-2
SPAL

Pellegrini (37'), Under (62'), Fazio (82')
Petagna (38' pen.), Bonifazi (56')
Missiroli (30'), Paloschi (64'), Luiz (69'), Milinkovic Savic (75')
Milinkovic Savic (75')
Apr 21, 2018 2pm
SPAL
0-3
Roma

Vicari (5'), Luiz (12'), Schiattarella (40'), Grassi (90')
Vicari (33' og.), Nainggolan (52'), Schick (60')
Strootman (9')
Dec 1, 2017 5.30pm
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Dzeko (19'), Strootman (32'), Pellegrini (53')
Gonalons (22')
Viviani (55')
Grassi (65'), Schiavon (83')
Felipe (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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