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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Roma logo

SPAL
1 - 6
Roma

Cerri (24')
Espeto (77')
Cionek (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kalinic (10'), Perez (38'), Kolarov (47'), Peres (52', 75'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between SPAL and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawRoma
17.22%20.41%62.37%
Both teams to score 55.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41%40.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.02%62.97%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53%12.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57%38.42%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 17.22%
    Roma 62.37%
    Draw 20.41%
SPALDrawRoma
2-1 @ 4.76%
1-0 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.22%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.41%
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-4 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.44%
2-4 @ 1.79%
0-5 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 62.37%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Tomovic (53' og.), Perotti (66' pen.), Mkhitaryan (83')
Cetin (54')
Petagna (44' pen.)
Felipe (50'), Vicari (66'), Jankovic (92')
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 28
SPAL
2-1
Roma
Fares (22'), Petagna (60' pen.)
Vicari (5'), Cionek (52'), Fares (54'), Missiroli (64')
Perotti (53' pen.)
N'Zonzi (40'), Dzeko (45'), Jesus (57'), Perotti (63'), Cristante (69')
Oct 20, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-2
SPAL

Pellegrini (37'), Under (62'), Fazio (82')
Petagna (38' pen.), Bonifazi (56')
Missiroli (30'), Paloschi (64'), Luiz (69'), Milinkovic Savic (75')
Milinkovic Savic (75')
Apr 21, 2018 2pm
SPAL
0-3
Roma

Vicari (5'), Luiz (12'), Schiattarella (40'), Grassi (90')
Vicari (33' og.), Nainggolan (52'), Schick (60')
Strootman (9')
Dec 1, 2017 5.30pm
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Dzeko (19'), Strootman (32'), Pellegrini (53')
Gonalons (22')
Viviani (55')
Grassi (65'), Schiavon (83')
Felipe (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina25126741271442
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma2510783629737
10Udinese2596103237-533
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13Como2567123040-1025
14CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
15Lecce2567121841-2325
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
17Empoli2549122238-1621
18Parma2548133045-1520
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2528152139-1814


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