Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
17.79% | 20.13% | 62.08% |
Both teams to score 57.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.73% | 38.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.45% | 60.55% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% | 34.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% | 71.63% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% | 11.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.9% | 37.1% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.79% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 4.09% Total : 62.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |