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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo

Spezia
2 - 0
AC Milan

Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dalot (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
17.79%20.13%62.08%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45%60.55%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16%11.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9%37.1%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.79%
    AC Milan 62.09%
    Draw 20.13%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.89%
1-0 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.79%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-4 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.6%
0-5 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 62.09%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
8.4%
Draw
3.0%
AC Milan
88.6%
167
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como122461323-1010
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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