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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo

Spezia
2 - 0
AC Milan

Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dalot (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
17.79%20.13%62.08%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45%60.55%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16%11.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9%37.1%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.79%
    AC Milan 62.09%
    Draw 20.13%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.89%
1-0 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.79%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-4 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.6%
0-5 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 62.09%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
8.4%
Draw
3.0%
AC Milan
88.6%
167
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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