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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo

Spezia
2 - 0
AC Milan

Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dalot (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
17.79%20.13%62.08%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45%60.55%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16%11.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9%37.1%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.79%
    AC Milan 62.09%
    Draw 20.13%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.89%
1-0 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.79%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-4 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.6%
0-5 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 62.09%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
8.4%
Draw
3.0%
AC Milan
88.6%
167
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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