Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia2 - 1Sampdoria
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 42.51% | 25.03% | 32.46% |
| Both teams to score 56.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% | 68.87% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% | 21.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.84% | 55.16% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% | 27.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.18% | 62.82% |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 42.51%
Sampdoria 32.46%
Draw 25.02%
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.46% |
How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria
Spezia
20.1%Draw
23.9%Sampdoria
56.0%209
