Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
33.37% | 26.2% | 40.42% |
Both teams to score 53.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.6% | 51.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% | 73.21% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% | 29.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% | 65.06% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% | 59.72% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |