Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.31% | 25.01% | 32.69% |
Both teams to score 56.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% | 46.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.3% | 68.7% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% | 21.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% | 55.2% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% | 27.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% | 62.52% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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