Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
23.64% | 23.31% | 53.05% |
Both teams to score 55.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.21% | 44.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% | 67.15% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% | 32.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% | 69.5% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% | 16.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.14% | 46.86% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |