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Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
1 - 0
Catanzaro

Mendes (14')
Botteghin (25'), Falasco (36'), Rodriguez (44'), Di Tacchio (60'), Giovane (66'), Bellusci (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Biasci (57'), Brighenti (75'), Vandeputte (78'), Oliveri (88'), Scognamillo (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Spezia
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Pisa
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.

Result
AscoliDrawCatanzaro
41.92% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 31.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.47% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)52.53% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.8% (-0.052 -0.05)74.2% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.78% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)59.36% (0.052 0.05)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)67.07% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 41.91%
    Catanzaro 31.71%
    Draw 26.37%
AscoliDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.91%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.71%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo1494129121731
2Pisa1493225121330
3SpeziaSpezia137601981127
4Cesena146442319422
5Cremonese135351817118
6Brescia145361820-218
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia144641316-318
8BariBari133821511417
9Palermo134541311217
10Mantova144551417-317
11CatanzaroCatanzaro1421021513216
12Carrarese144461215-316
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza144731414015
14Modena143651920-115
15Sampdoria134361618-215
16Reggiana143651416-215
17SudtirolSudtirol134181420-613
18Salernitana143471322-913
19Cittadella13337619-1312
20FrosinoneFrosinone13175818-1010


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