Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.