MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:36:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Serie B | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Cagliari logo

Bari
0 - 1
Cagliari


Dorval (59'), Maita (67'), Benedetti (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (90+4')
Luvumbo (67'), Deiola (90'), Mancosu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B promotion playoff between Bari and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Bari
Thursday, June 8 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Bari
Thursday, June 8 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Bari 2-1 Cagliari (Bari win 3-2 on aggregate)

 As victory is the only option for Cagliari, the onus is on Claudio Ranieri's side to score at least once in Sunday's second leg. Though Bari failed to fully punish them in midweek, the Isolani were often caught out at the back, and if the home side can take the lead in front of almost 60,000 fans, that could be enough to make a miraculous return to Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
BariDrawCagliari
34.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 29.41% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 35.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.72% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.79% (-0.269 -0.27)63.21% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.38% (-0.194 -0.19)82.62% (0.19 0.19)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)34.27% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.183 -0.18)70.97% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.167 -0.17)33.48% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.181 -0.18)70.12% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bari 34.7%
    Cagliari 35.88%
    Draw 29.4%
BariDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.4%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Bari vs Cagliari

Bari
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Cagliari
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
1-1
Bari
Lapadula (9')
Antenucci (90+6' pen.)
Feb 18, 2023 3.15pm
gameweek 25
Bari
1-1
Cagliari
Antenucci (90+5' pen.)
Lapadula (2')
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
gameweek 6
Cagliari
0-1
Bari
Cheddira (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa1393125111430
2SassuoloSassuolo1384125121328
3SpeziaSpezia137601981127
4Cesena136342218421
5Cremonese135351817118
6BariBari133821511417
7Palermo134541311217
8Brescia135261820-217
9Juve StabiaJuve Stabia134541316-317
10Mantova134451215-316
11CatanzaroCatanzaro132921311215
12Sampdoria134361618-215
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza134631313014
14Modena133551819-114
15Reggiana133551315-214
16Carrarese133461115-413
17Salernitana133461318-513
18SudtirolSudtirol134181420-613
19Cittadella13337619-1312
20FrosinoneFrosinone13175818-1010
> Serie B Full Table


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