Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Genoa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reggina 0-0 Bari
Saturday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Frosinone
Sunday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Genoa |
42.75% ( 0.57) | 27.04% ( 0.12) | 30.21% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
