Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monza in this match.
