Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Brescia2 - 1Perugia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Perugia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Como 0-1 Brescia
Monday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Monday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cosenza Calcio | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Brescia | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Bari | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Bari
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Pisa | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Perugia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Sudtirol | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Perugia |
61.76% ( 0.09) | 23.14% ( -0.26) | 15.09% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.29% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( 1.18) | 55.49% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( 0.96) | 76.68% ( -0.96) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.46) | 17.61% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.81% ( 0.8) | 48.19% ( -0.8) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0.96) | 48.67% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.28% ( 0.68) | 83.72% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Brescia 61.75%
Perugia 15.09%
Draw 23.14%
| Brescia | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.09% |
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 5.30pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
De Luca (28')
Ferrarini (18')
Ferrarini (30')
Ferrarini (18')
Ferrarini (30')
Oct 16, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-0
Brescia
De Luca (25' pen.)
Matos (2'), Falzerano (45'), Dell'Orco (71'), Lisi (90+2')
Matos (2'), Falzerano (45'), Dell'Orco (71'), Lisi (90+2')
van de Looi (48'), Mateju (50'), Bajic (74')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Perugia
2-1
Brescia
Jan 19, 2019 5pm
Perugia
0-2
Brescia
Dragomir (31')
