Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.