Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.