Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.