Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Como had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.