Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.