Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
