Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
