Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.