Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.