Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.