Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
