Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.