Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Cagliari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ternana 2-1 Modena
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 SPAL
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Cagliari |
40.07% ( -0.46) | 26.08% ( 0.01) | 33.84% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.02) | 50.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( 0.02) | 72.69% ( -0.03) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.23) | 24.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.39% ( -0.32) | 59.6% ( 0.32) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( 0.29) | 28.54% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.67% ( 0.37) | 64.32% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 40.07%
Cagliari 33.84%
Draw 26.07%
| Modena | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.84% |
How you voted: Modena vs Cagliari
Modena
57.1%Draw
14.3%Cagliari
28.6%7
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
