Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.