Serie B | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
1 - 1
Carrarese

Le Douaron (86')
Nikolaou (14'), Di Mariano (53'), Diakite (68'), Le Douaron (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shpendi (16')
Guarino (21'), Illanes Minucci (86')
Guarino (57')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 2-0 Frosinone
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Mantova 2-1 Carrarese
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawCarrarese
50.92% (1.549 1.55)25.57% (0.528 0.53)23.51% (-2.074 -2.07)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-3.633 -3.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-3.75 -3.75)54.16% (3.754 3.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-3.228 -3.23)75.58% (3.232 3.23)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.861 -0.86)21.3% (0.865 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-1.351 -1.35)54.24% (1.354 1.35)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (-3.895 -3.9)38.21% (3.9 3.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-3.95 -3.95)74.97% (3.955 3.96)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 50.91%
    Carrarese 23.51%
    Draw 25.56%
PalermoDrawCarrarese
1-0 @ 12.58% (1.45 1.45)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.892 0.89)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 8.14% (1.127 1.13)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.553 -0.55)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.329 0.33)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.545 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Carrarese
1-0
Palermo
Shpendi (77')
Guarino (73'), Shpendi (79'), Cicconi (90+2')

Ceccaroni (70')
rhs 2.0


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