Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pescara win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pescara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Livorno win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pescara in this match.