Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pescara win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pescara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pescara would win this match.