Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.