Reggina

2 - 1

Ternana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.