Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	FeralpiSalo
48.28% ( 0.18)	26.7% ( -0.07)	25.02% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

0.18)

57.13% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

0.14)

78% (

-0.14)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

0.16)

23.72% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

0.23)

57.85% (

-0.23)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.51% (

-0)

38.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76% (

-0)

75.24% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ternana 48.28%

FeralpiSalo 25.02%

Draw 26.69%

Ternana	Draw	FeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.28%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.02%