Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.