Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.