Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.