Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Sportni park Lendava
Nafta0 - 3Maribor
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Nafta and Maribor.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Nafta win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nafta | Draw | Maribor |
29.31% ( 0.08) | 24.36% ( 0.01) | 46.33% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.02) | 45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.02) | 67.35% ( -0.02) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.06) | 28.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.54% ( 0.08) | 64.46% ( -0.08) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.03) | 19.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.04) | 51.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Nafta 29.31%
Maribor 46.33%
Draw 24.36%
| Nafta | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.33% |
