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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Samsunspor

Bekiroglu (71'), Sowe (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Drongelen (54'), Celik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-0 Samsunspor

Samsunspor's start to the campaign has been less than ideal, and this weekend's clash is unlikely to provide them with a reprieve. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
38.56% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.81% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 35.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-0.24 -0.24)49.38% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.216 -0.22)71.42% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.14 -0.14)25.12% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.192 -0.19)59.82% (0.191 0.19)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.116 -0.12)26.77% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.152 -0.15)62.05% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 38.56%
    Samsunspor 35.63%
    Draw 25.8%
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.63%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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