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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Wright (14')
Fernando (26'), Fredy (35'), Vural (61'), Bayrakdar (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Batshuayi (55', 62' pen.)
Aziz (6'), Alioski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Antalyaspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Hatayspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 0-3 Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor have not resumed their campaign after the World Cup in the best fashion after losing successive matches, and the visit of Fenerbahce is not the ideal game for the hosts to change their fortunes. The Yellow Canaries are embroiled in a three-way title race so need to string successive wins together, and they should be able to comfortably collect all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
23.5% (0.199 0.2) 23.19% (0.555 0.56) 53.31% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-2.268 -2.27)44.39% (2.265 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-2.235 -2.24)66.76% (2.232 2.23)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-1.073 -1.07)32.83% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-1.211 -1.21)69.39% (1.208 1.21)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-1.072 -1.07)16.61% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-1.958 -1.96)46.43% (1.955 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 23.5%
    Fenerbahce 53.31%
    Draw 23.18%
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.413 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.5%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.518 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.31%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor
11.1%
Draw
17.5%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
63
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Antalyaspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Sinik (81')
Sari (71'), Fredy (71'), Kudryashov (90+7')
Sosa (72')
Kadioglu (30')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Antalyaspor
Zajc (89'), Valencia (90+2')
Sangare (62')

Naldo (90+3'), Boffin (90+6')
Mar 4, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-1
Antalyaspor
Valencia (83')
Szalai (7'), Cisse (88'), Kadioglu (89'), Pelkas (90+2'), Sosa (90+7')
Fredy (12')
Fredy (21'), Amilton (33'), Sari (38'), Naldo (61'), Orgill (88')
Boffin (90+9')
Nov 2, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Podolski (52')
Sari (37'), Orgill (50')
Jahovic (43')
Tufan (49'), Perotti (84' pen.)
Valencia (60'), Gumus (90+7')
Gumus (90+7')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
2-2
Fenerbahce
Amilton (52'), Ozmert (57')
Podolski (63'), Jahovic (90'), Fredy (90'), Ozmert (90'), Celustka (90')
Ozmert (90')
Muriqi (35'), Zajc (90')
Gustavo (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray17152049202947
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor18103432181433
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul177552823526
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
9GaziantepGaziantep176472426-222
10KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor176382132-1121
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor174762524119
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor183771734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1816111631-159
19Adana Demirspor1722131537-225


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