We said: Besiktas 1-1 Hatayspor
Hatayspor won the reverse fixture 1-0 and although they carry a three-game unbeaten run into Saturday's contest, away victories have been hard to come by in recent weeks.
The hosts will know that they can leapfrog their opponents on Saturday with a win, but we think they may have to settle for a point in what should be a hard-fought contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.