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Besiktas
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
UnionplatzHasan Doğan Milli Takımlar Kamp ve Eğitim Tesisleri

Besiktas
3 - 1
Istanbulspor

Tosun (42'), Aboubakar (56'), Redmond (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lokilo (70')
Aksu (45+2'), Duhaney (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Besiktas 2-1 Istanbulspor

Having recovered their form in recent weeks, Besiktas should have enough to win on home soil in this Istanbul derby. Istanbulspor have proved they are a threat, but the sides they have beaten in the last three games have all been a level below Besiktas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 80.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawIstanbulspor
80.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 12.62% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02) 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)5.77% (-0.0068999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)22.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.46% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)46.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.87% (-0.041 -0.04)82.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 80.15%
    Istanbulspor 7.21%
    Draw 12.62%
BesiktasDrawIstanbulspor
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 7.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 4.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-0 @ 2.01% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 80.15%
1-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.68%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 12.62%
1-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Istanbulspor

Besiktas
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Istanbulspor
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1071220101022
3Fenerbahce96212071320
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5SivassporSivasspor115241716117
6EyupsporEyupspor104421511416
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul94321511415
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor926198112
11GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
12KonyasporKonyaspor103251116-511
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor103251220-811
14Bodrumspor10316813-510
15Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor10235914-59
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor9036715-83
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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