Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.